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Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
important models but also because they are series of direct concern to actuaries. Figure 4 displays the series ... for correlation among the observa- tions. The primary purpose of fitting models to time series data is ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller, Frank Reynolds, Richard W Ziock
- Date: Oct 1973
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis
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Projections - How to Make Them and How to Use Them
crude illustration, it should be prepared with great care, and should be as far as possible realistic. The ... projection can be obtained if it is run without the direct use of the service tables and the benefit schedules ...- Authors: Robert F Link, Robert J Myers, A M Niessen, Dorrance C. Bronson, W Rulon Williamson, Herbert J. Stark
- Date: Nov 1950
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement
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The Development of Mean Natural Reserve Factors and Methods of Amortizing Acquisition Expenses in Adjusting Life Insurance Company Earnings
expenses eligible for amortization should be in direct proportion to premium income. Since premium payers ... voyages. One amortization method is to have a direct proportional amortiza- tion, as illustrated in ...- Authors: Robert L Collett, Robert H Dreyer, A Henry Kunkemueller, Paul Milgrom, Claude Y Paquin, Anthony C Sharp, Steven Sommer, Leonard H McVity
- Date: Oct 1973
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Financial Reporting & Accounting>Generally Accepted Accounting Principles [GAAP]; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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An Algorithm for Computing Expected Stop-Loss Claims under a Group Life Contract
encouraging because presumably one of the actuary's primary professional functions is the evaluation of risk ... probability theory and computer science to pro- duce a direct method for calculating stop-loss premiums for group ...- Authors: William A Bailey, Hans U Gerber, L Giles, Richard S Hester, Donald A Jones, John A Mereu, Gerald J Rankin, Courtland C Smith, William J Taylor
- Date: Oct 1972
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Life Insurance>Group plans - Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend
A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend This paper presents a method involving ... reasons to suspect that the variance of medical care claim data may not be finite. The author's bootstrap ...- Authors: William A Bailey
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting